Issued on 22 October 2024 at 5AM, "Kristine" intensifies into a Tropical Storm.
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to "KRISTINE".
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
* Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
* The highest Wind Signal which may be hoisted during the occurrence of KRISTINE is still Wind Signal No. 4, considering the possibility of rapid intensification.
Furthermore, the wind flow coming towards the circulation of KRISTINE and the Northeasterly Windflow will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
* Today (22 October): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Palawan, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Negros Island Region, Central Visayas, Southern Leyte, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Agusan del Norte, Sarangani, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
* Tomorrow (23 October): MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao.
* Thursday (24 October): MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Visayas, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, Zamboanga del Norte, Lanao del Sur, Northern Mindanao, Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Davao del Sur, and Davao Oriental.
HAZARD AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is hoisted over the eastern seaboard of Luzon, the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon, and the eastern seaboard of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 AM today.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
* Up to 6.5 m: The seaboard of Isabela and the northern and eastern seaboards of Bicol Region
* Up to 5.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes, Cagayan, and Aurora, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar
* Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Polillo Islands, the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte, the remaining seaboards of Bicol Region, the western seaboard of Northern Samar, the northern seaboard of Biliran, and the seaboard of the northern portion of Samar.
* Sea travel is risky all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
* Up to 4.0 m: The western seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
* Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the seaboards of Southern Leyte, Bohol, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands, and Surigao del Norte.
* Up to 3.0 m: The southern seaboards of Palawan, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, and Siquijor, the eastern seaboard of Davao Region and the eastern seaboard of mainland Quezon
* Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
* Up to 2.5 m: The remaining seaboards of the country.
* Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
* KRISTINE is forecast to move northwestward to west northwestward until Thursday (24 October) before turning westward for the rest of the forecast period. On the track forecast, this tropical cyclone may make landfall over Isabela on tomorrow (23 October) evening and may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Friday (25 October) evening. Changes in forecast track is not ruled out, depending on the movement of the weather systems surrounding this tropical cyclone in the next few days.
* KRISTINE is forecast to remain as a tropical storm in the next 24 hours. It may reach severe tropical storm category on tomorrow and may make landfall over Isabela as a severe tropical storm. It is forecast to reach typhoon category on Friday as it emerges over the West Philippine Sea. Since this tropical cyclone is still over the Philippine Sea, rapid intensification is not ruled out given the favorable environmental conditions. The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data 390 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.2 °N, 127.8 °E) moving Westward at 15 km/h with a maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.