We recently compiled a list of the 8 Best Cyclical Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) stands against other best cyclical stocks to buy according to hedge funds.
Cyclical stocks are shares in companies whose performance is closely tied to the business cycle and economic conditions. These companies typically operate in industries that produce non-essential, or discretionary, goods and services, such as automobiles, housing, entertainment, travel, and retail.
During strong economic periods, cyclical stocks tend to perform well because consumers have more disposable income to spend on luxury items, vacations, and home improvements. Conversely, during economic downturns or recessions, people often cut back on discretionary spending, leading to a decrease in demand for these goods and services.
As the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, it is creating a favorable environment for investing in cyclical stocks. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing, which encourages both consumers and businesses to take out loans and increase their spending. This uptick in consumer spending is especially beneficial for companies that rely heavily on discretionary purchases.
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On January 16, Reuters reported that the U.S. Commerce Department announced a rise in retail sales for December, driven by robust consumer demand for motor vehicles and a variety of other goods. The data highlights the economy's resilience and supports the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on further interest rate reductions this year. The upbeat retail figures, combined with recent labor market strength, prompted some economists to revise their economic growth forecasts for the fourth quarter closer to the strong pace seen in the July-September quarter.
Retail sales increased by 0.4% in December, following an upwardly revised 0.8% gain in November. Though economists had anticipated a 0.6% increase, the year-on-year growth stood at an impressive 3.9%. Auto dealership sales rose by 0.7%, while furniture stores and clothing retailers also posted gains of 2.3% and 1.5%, respectively. Miscellaneous store retailers, including gift shops and florists, led the charge with a 4.3% surge in receipts, while online store sales posted a modest 0.2% increase.
Core retail sales, which exclude volatile categories such as automobiles, gasoline, building materials, and food services, rose by a strong 0.7% in December after a 0.4% increase in November. These core sales closely align with the consumer spending component of GDP, leading economists to estimate a 3.3% annualized growth rate for consumer spending in the fourth quarter. Capital Economics revised its overall GDP growth forecast for the quarter to 2.9%, up from an earlier estimate of 2.7%.